In just one month, August 6th, the first Republican Debate is scheduled to air. Fox News will serve as host. Fox is a very appropriate venue to get the Republicans started. Having a conservative bias, they represent the Republican Party perhaps better than the other large networks which, without fail, are biased in favor of progressive Democrats.
So, who will be on the stage? Fox has said that the top 10 candidates in an average of 5 polls will be invited. In the case of a tie, there will be 11 candidates. I’m not sure how effective the debates will be with that many candidates vying for the microphone. It sounds rather like a circus but, perhaps it will eliminate some of the less prepared and unworthy. Who is looking like a shoe in for the invitation? Definitely in are:
- Jeb Bush
- Scott Walker
- Ben Carson
- Marko Rubio
- Mike Huckabee
- Rand Paul
- Donald Trump???
- Ted Cruz
While things can change in the next 30 days, the last two of the 10 invitations would appear to be up for grabs between
- Rick Perry
- Chris Christie
- Rick Santorum
- Carly Fiorina
Who gets the invite will depend in part to which polls Fox decides to use. Of the four I would most like to see Carly Fiorina get a spot. I think that she needs to be part of the debate. Not because I want to see her win but because I think her thoughts need to be part of the conversation. (I do see her as a potential Vice President pick.)
My choice for the last spot would be Rick Perry. The choice is simply one of elimination. Chris Christie is just not presidential and Rick Santorum has had his chance. A good man, I would vote for him for National Chaplin but I can’t get excited to see him as a presidential candidate again.
Personally, I feel it will be a great injustice if Donald Trump actually stays in long enough to steal a spot in the debates from either Carly Fiorina or Rick Perry. When you get serious, Donald is simply one of a covey of political clowns along with the likes of Sara Palin and Joe Biden. If he stays, our nation will be the loser.
Who will win the debate? You can count on Jeb Bush, Marko Rubio, Ted Cruz and Rand Paul to do well. The rest is a guess. I would be happy to see these four go forward into the final stages of the campaign. As we come to know them and as they grow into the opportunity, they will represent the party well. My opinion only, one of these four will be the next President of the United States. I could be wrong but, I really hope not.
Note: The Democrats will also be starting a debate schedule in early fall. The date is yet to be announced. Those running are: Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Martin O’Malley and Lincoln Chafee. With this lineup, these debates will definitely be entertaining. If my prediction of a Republican winner is wrong, I would be pleased to see Jim Webb win. Oh please, let it be Jim Webb.
Samuel Waen Jensen